The polls were right.


The final Gallup Daily predicted Obama's popular vote to within one point: 53%.

RealClearPolitics predicted every state.  Even down to the squeaker in Missouri.

Back in August i spent some time choosing which poll site to watch.  Some were obviously biased and would always come out out of kilter to one side or the other.  Apparently i ended up choosing the right polls to watch.  It's nice to know that we all saw this comming.

Tags

  1. politics
  2. polls
  3. 2008 election
  4. 2012 election

Comments


Mark de LA says
Some say that they saw the housing & financial failure coming too!  Did it do any good?

Mark de LA says
Two things on the polls & poling:
What Polls Represent: (of course the sample skew means everything)
<== via The Weekly Standard.
...
AND ...
source: ..

A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every U.S. president since 1980 forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney.

The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, including both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors.

... Hopefully they are right.



Mark de LA says
seth 2012-08-24 13:55:58 10840
Well as you know the overall popular vote doesn't mean anything.  I have been collecting maps like the one below from tpm instead ...


... note if Obama can hold on to PA and Ohio, then he wins.

Other maps :

nyt

cnn

politico



Yeah, the Colorado study was an electoral study.


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