Is anthropogenic global warming real ?
About: The [New] Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study

- Richard Muller, Founder and Scientific Director: New Berkeley Earth analysis
- New York Times: The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic Op-Ed By Richard A. Muller
- Think Progress: Bombshell: Koch-funded study finds global warming is real, on the high end and essentially all due to carbon pollution
This item has been created to track the effect of Muller's study on the climate change debate. It is about that particular study and its effect ... not about climate change in general. Any comments that are not about this particular study or its effect will be summarily deleted ... that means that cartoons and even bloviations about Muller or his study are acceptable. Cartoons or bloviations about global warming in general are not. Please stay on topic here.
Here is the graph showing the close fit between the rise of CO2 and the increase in average temperature.

The annual and decadal land surface temperature from the BerkeleyEarth average, compared to a linear combination of volcanic sulfate emissions and the natural logarithm of CO2. It is observed that the large negative excursions in the early temperature records are likely to be explained by exceptional volcanic activity at this time. Similarly, the upward trend is likely to be an indication of anthropogenic changes.
Tags
- global warming
- global skeptics
- rational item
- political item
- item 16103
Comments
"Moreover, our analysis does not depend on large, complex global climate models, the huge computer programs that are notorious for their hidden assumptions and adjustable parameters. Our result is based simply on the close agreement between the shape of the observed temperature rise and the known greenhouse gas increase."




This is a useful book for people with very little scientific
knowledge. The author presents a bit of science, but little
enough that most of the intended audience will be able to
follow the argument. The science is not the problem in most
of the problem areas considered. Rather, it is economics,
specifically trade-offs, sometimes measured in dollars, but often
in lives lost due to one cause versus lives saved due to an
increased effort in another area, or habitat loss due to solar
power.

What you believe, when you can't test it yourself, is shaped by who you trust.
What you believe, when you can't test it yourself, is shaped by who you trust.



stpaulchuck | August 2, 2012 at 12:07 pm | Reply so then, a “skeptic” who wasn’t really a skeptic basing his ‘conversion’ on badly molested data… I think I’ve seen this movie before.





As most readers are probably aware, there was an op-ed in the Saturday New York Times from Richard Muller announcing the Berkeley Earth team’s latest results. It was odd enough that a scientific paper was announced via an op-ed, rather than a press release, odder still that the paper was only being submitted and had not actually been accepted, and most odd of all was the framing – a ‘converted skeptic’ being convinced by his studies that the planet has indeed warmed and that human activity is the cause – which as Mike and Ken Caldiera pointed out has been known for almost 2 decades.
Not wanting to be upstaged, plenty of ‘unconverted skeptics’ – including Anthony Watts and Ross McKitrick decided to stage dramatic press events and release barbs of their own. This was followed by a general piling on of commenters and bloggers trying to spin the events in their preferred direction combined with plenty of cluelessness in the general media about exactly who these people are (no-one special), what earth-shattering discovery had been made (none) and what it all means (not a lot).



Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/15/exclusive-state-department-oversight-climate-change-spending-abroad-is-mess/#ixzz23dL6Zkid
Since then, however, the situation may have gotten worse.
For one thing, the Obama administration’s spending on international climate change projects accelerated between 2010, when the OIG report ended its scrutiny, and mid-2012, when the report appeared — and continues today.
That spending spree has been based on its commitments at a variety of United Nations-sponsored climate change meetings, including the failed Copenhagen climate change conference in December 2009, and subsequent sessions in Mexico, South Africa and, most recently, the Rio + 20 U.N. summit conference on “sustainable development” in Brazil.
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/15/exclusive-state-department-oversight-climate-change-spending-abroad-is-mess/#ixzz23dLPLtqh

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A comment on http://junkscience.com/2012/08/02/rob-lyons-forgive-me-ipcc-for-i-have-sinned/
I'll put the full article link on 16107.