UN Resolution 1701

About: Text of the UN resolution on Lebanon war


This resolution passed unanimously.  One thing to realize about this agreement is that it is between states that are members of the United Nations.  That means the soverign state of Lebanon and Israel.  Hezbollah is not a party to this agreement.  My script reads:
My script (predictive) written at 2006-08-12 08:29:4
Both Lebanon and Israel will accep the cease-fire by Monday.  Israel will stop moving more ground forces into Southern Lebanon and will stop bombing targets in Lebanon except those from which rockets are fired. The Lebanonease army will continue to move into the South and the UN forces will be seen to enter the theater of action.
I have no idea whether Nasrallah will put out the word to his Hezbollah fighters to stop lobbing missils.   But either he will or he won't.  I could write two scripts, but instead i'll hang back and wait for more knowledge.

Tags

  1. un 1701
  2. war
  3. cease-fire
  4. israel
  5. scripts
  6. myscript
  7. lebanon
  8. un

Comments


Seth says
I take the following news as progressing on my predictive script above:
source: La Times
BEIRUT -- Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah promised an end to rocket fire on northern Israel as soon as Israeli forces cease operations in southern Lebanon, a tentative step toward peace after more than a month of war that has killed civilians on both sides of the border.

Nasrallah was responding to Friday's U.N. Security Council resolution that called for a "cessation of hostilities." The Lebanese government was meeting today to consider the resolution, but has already indicated it will accept the Security Council's demands, which include a reinforced U.N. military presence in the country's south.

Israel has also indicated it will abide by the resolution once its cabinet formally meets on Sunday. Officials announced that Israel would halt offensive operations on Monday.
The news that Narsrallah claims that he will be instructing his resistance to cease firing rockets is partual vindication for my statement ...
source: 4136
Hezbollah would be wise to accept the conditions as well.  They will be in a much better political position if they are not completely militarily demolished
This means that we can start working on the erroniously published script contained here.

Seth says
M 2006-09-06 09:46:53 4141
Must have missed the more important news that Israel has set a time to stop the blockade with some EU country taking over Germany & maybe France. See the WSJ article previously posted:
Yep, missed it, and it was more important: Israel to lift blockade of Lebanese air and sea ports on Thursday.  In retrospect Lebanese Foreign Minister Fawzi Salloukh's threat looks like taking credit for something that was already going to happen.

Mark de LA says
seth 2006-09-06 09:28:35 4141
This needs to be watched ...
source: Lebanon Warns It Might Use Force to Break Blockade
Lebanese Foreign Minister Fawzi Salloukh said Wednesday that his country would break Israel's blockade by force if it is not lifted in a 48-hour timeframe indicated by United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan.

"We will wait for the 48 hours given by Kofi Annan, and if the situation is resolved, we will thank him. If it is not, the Lebanese government will take the necessary measures and we will break the blockade with all our might," Salloukh told journalists on the sidelines of an Arab foreign ministers meeting in Cairo.
... one wonders, (1) what is the actual nature of the blocade, and (2) what kind of "force" Lebanon's government plans to use.  Would they use Hezbollah's armaments?  Or is this just postering?
Must have missed the more important news that Israel has set a time to stop the blockade with some EU country taking over Germany & maybe France. See the WSJ article previously posted:
source: ...

Wednesday, Sept. 6

11:30 a.m.: Israel said it will lift its sea blockade of Lebanon on Thursday evening. Earlier, a Lebanese official said a deal was being worked out under which Israel would end its air and sea blockade of Lebanon in return for the Lebanese government requesting French and other international forces to monitor its coastline.

...


Seth says
This needs to be watched ...
source: Lebanon Warns It Might Use Force to Break Blockade
Lebanese Foreign Minister Fawzi Salloukh said Wednesday that his country would break Israel's blockade by force if it is not lifted in a 48-hour timeframe indicated by United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan.

"We will wait for the 48 hours given by Kofi Annan, and if the situation is resolved, we will thank him. If it is not, the Lebanese government will take the necessary measures and we will break the blockade with all our might," Salloukh told journalists on the sidelines of an Arab foreign ministers meeting in Cairo.
... one wonders, (1) what is the actual nature of the blocade, and (2) what kind of "force" Lebanon's government plans to use.  Would they use Hezbollah's armaments?  Or is this just postering?

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